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RightOnline Day 1 – Building Coalitions

July 23, 2010 George 1 comment

Las Vegas is insane.

Everything I’ve heard about this Disneyland-for-adults is true: neon, sparkles, bells & whistles, herds (and hordes) of people, STAR WARS slot machines (pictures later)…I will definitely have to come back here one day for purposes other than business. My friend Jon Henke (@JonHenke) and I flew from DC yesterday by way of Newark, NJ and didn’t even land in Vegas until 1am PT…it was a long day, and I slept in a bit. It was easy to do in my posh suite at the Venetian, with my sunken living room and remote-controlled drapes! Life is hard.

The first panel I attended today featured Todd Thurman (@toddthurman) of the Heritage Foundation, Brian Faughnan (@brianfaughnan) of Liberty Central, and Alexa Moutevelis (@alexashrugged) of the RNC, all moderated by my Liberty Pundits co-blogger Melissa Clouthier (@melissatweets). The panel focused on connecting grassroots activists in the field to policy shops in DC – like Heritage, Cato, or other think tanks – as well as to communications resources and activism training like those offered by FreedomWorks or the Leadership Institute.

Probably one of the better bits of information passed along during the discussion was the notion that activists in the field shouldn’t be shy about engaging DC-based resources. Yes, DC is busy. Yes, DC occasionally has a heightened, over-inflated sense of self. But DC is also sitting on piles of your cash, looking for a way to return value back to you. So don’t be shy about sending emails or picking up the phones to ask for help.

But more than just connecting grassroots activists to DC to get talking points and policy papers to support candidates back home, the panel focused on connecting activist to activist using technology – that means Twitter, Facebook, the blogosphere, and other online resources.

The RNC announced some nascent, new API and they are transitioning all of their online tools to an open-source platform…the API is apparently already available for developers…more on this later. Despite this move to make RNC resources more available to more people, there was some grumbling in the audience that the RNC fails (on occasion) to return voter vaults back to activists on the ground once they pull out of town following a race. This makes people currently involved with components of the Tea Party movement a bit reticent to cooperate with the RNC in Washington.

After a few questions, and after some dancing around the issue, I asked the panel: is there a sense, going into this November’s elections (and subsequently in 2012) that the Right should be worried about the Left exploiting a growing rift between conservatives and libertarians? If so, how can we, or more appropriately, should we be doing anything differently than the suggestions you’ve all made here today to, strengthen the coalition between these two groups?

The consensus from the panel seemed to be that there’s not really any danger this year – libertarians and conservatives agree in principle that the prevailing issue of this election is the economy, stupid. Throwing the bums out is priority #1 in 2010. But the funnel of candidates is currently full, and the new Congressional primary begins, effectively, on November 3 – it is possible that infighting on the Right might get nastier in 2011 and 2012.

Todd Thurman told me after the panel “We just need to make sure we’re talking, and that we’re sticking together in areas where we agree.” I agree in principle with this strategy, but only inasmuch as it’s a first step. Because there is potential for infighting to become nastier on the Right as we approach 2012, it’s important to talk about areas where we disagree too – libertarians remain (rightly) mistrustful of the Big Government GOP – the same GOP that is trying to ride the Tea Party Tiger into new majorities this fall. Ignoring our differences now can be our foil later.

Cross-posted at Liberty Pundits and The Next Right.

RightOnline 2010: An Activism Odyssey

July 22, 2010 George 1 comment

I’m traveling today to Las Vegas, Nevada for three days and two nights for the very first time – known to many as “Sin City,” but home to some of my very favorite people on the planet. There are six hyperlinked words there, folks, meaning six clickable links – check them out!

I doubt very much that I’ll actually play much poker over the next few days – not in this economy anyway (never play with what you can’t afford to lose – seriously, if you think you have a problem, contact the Gamblers Anonymous toll-free hotline, 1-888-GA-HELPS, or 1-888-424-3577). Though I make an effort to take one big casino trip per year, I’m headed to Glitter Gulch today for RightOnline 2010, an Internet activism conference for the center-right and right, designed by Americans for Prosperity to mirror the DailyKos’ Netroots Nation, which will also take place in Vegas this weekend.

But I did used to play quite a bit of poker back in my early twenties, back around the time when fellow Tennessean Chris Moneymaker became an overnight celebrity by winning the main event at the 2003 World Series of Poker, after starting his run for poker’s most prestigious championship event at a $40 sit-and-go tournament on Poker Stars.

All the memories of monster bluffs and bad beats, of laughs and friendships created (and alliances forged…) that have flooded back as I prepared for this trip have given me an opportunity to wax nostalgiac quite a bit about my early twenties (the parts I remember, anyway). But today’s post isn’t about my war stories and fisherman’s tales about gambling – it’s about Vegas, baby – Vegas and politics. But not Harry Reid vs. Sharron Angle – I mean poker. And gambling. And what the Hell the government is doing to screw with people’s private lives.

The Poker Players Alliance is a non-profit, membership-based advocacy organization that sprung up in the wake of the passage of the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 (UIGEA), and aims to help turn back the tide of state and federal government crackdowns on social and commercial games of chance. They believe (as I do) that poker doesn’t even categorically fit the description; poker is a skill game. And just in case the clip above of no-name (at the time) Chris Moneymaker leveling a tournament-altering blow against poker pro Sammy Farha didn’t convince you, here’s Mike McDermott (Matt Damon, Rounders) on sitting down to play against poker pro legend Johnny Chan:

Okay, okay – Rounders isn’t real. But poker skills are, and there’s a line in the movie that goes something to the effect of “Why do you think the same people wind up at the final table at the World Series of Poker every year? What, are they the luckiest people on the planet?” If any of you out there are poker players, and you’re on Twitter, give the Poker Players Alliance a follow (@ppapoker). From their Mission Statement:

The Poker Players Alliance (PPA) is a non-profit membership organization comprised of online and offline poker players. Our membership consists of enthusiasts from around the United States who have joined together to speak with one voice to promote the game and protect the right to play poker in all its forms.

The PPA’s mission is to establish favorable laws that provide poker players with a secure, safe and regulated place to play. Through education and awareness the PPA will keep this game of skill, one of America’s oldest recreational activities, free from egregious government intervention and misguided laws.

The PPA is committed to defending the rights of poker players. On behalf of our broad membership, we will promote and protect poker through advocacy work in Washington, D.C., and throughout the nation. The Poker Players Alliance will work with key lawmakers to ensure a thoughtful and productive dialogue that represents everyone who enjoys and wants to protect the game.

When I used PPA’s online resources to email my Congressman, Rep. Jim Cooper (D-TN 5th), a couple years ago to ask him to use time in the 110th Congress to support a repeal of UIGEA, his staff wrote back and said “Get bent.”

Okay, maybe not, but they may as well have.

Ace-King: the Texas Hold 'Em starting hand known around the felt as "Big Slick." I prefer to call it the "Anna Kournikova;" no matter how good it looks, it rarely performs.

There’s nothing more fundamental or essential to the American system of government than the protection of people’s rights to their private property, which they have acquired through labor (usually now in the form of an income, as opposed to a share of land), and their rights to dispose of that property as they see fit. This has been explored exhaustively by great philosophers and game theorists alike. There are certainly social conservative arguments against gambling (of all forms, not just online gambling) – largely out-dated, out-moded traditionalist and absolutist moral arguments about the lasciviousness of a lawless, old West gambler’s lifestyle (booze, loose women, etc.).

Former Democratic President Bill Clinton, too – who I’d hardly call a member of the Religious Right or moral majority – supported a 4 percent federal income tax on all gambling wins. His thinking suggested basically that, if deadbeat dads were going to gamble their paychecks in a casino instead of paying child support, the federal government would assert its prerogative to levy a Pigouvian tax to force deadbeats to internalize the social costs of their behavior, which ostensibly resulted in externalities impacting child welfare:

[Then-candidate Hillary] Clinton’s history with gaming goes back at least to 1994, when President Bill Clinton suggested a 4 percent federal tax on all gaming receipts to help fund the administration’s health care and welfare reforms. The idea did not get very far before 30 governors convinced the administration that the states depended on gaming revenue for their own budgets, and the administration dropped the idea. But it prompted commercial casinos to organize a political action committee to permanently represent their interests in Washington, DC.

Back to my Congressman, Jim Cooper, who has helped the Obama Administration pass landmark vote-buys like health care reform. Other Lefties (mostly self-proclaimed socialists and other progressives) look at gambling as a tax on the poor – “…a highly regressive form of taxation that thrives by inducing false hopes among the financially destitute.” But Coop is a member of the Blue Dog Coalition, representing the Protestant Vatican, and he would no doubt would reject Clinton’s idealism and levying of a tax on gambling, despite the indignation of some of the Music City’s more progressive voices, because of the effect this would have on Nashvillians who have to travel 4 hours by car to the nearest casino resort town to have a little grown-up fun.

No, Jim Cooper the Spineless Statist that everyone seems to hate (but continues to send back to Congress – good luck to Jeff Hartline) thinks that telling me what I can and can’t do with my money – regardless of the fact that I have no estranged children or alimony to pay, and am not financially destitute (although by no accounts wealthy) – is the best course of action. Once again, the prohibition on gambling is another manifestation of the government presuming providence over all income in America, and what people can and can’t do with their earnings…much less hold people accountable for their decisions to wager income on games in which the odds are methodically and deliberately stacked against them, because they choose to view it as a get-rich-quick scheme. Before anyone calls me a hypocrite, I don’t gamble to make money – I pay for entertainment, and I don’t go over the figures I budget ahead of time. I have, of course, “lost it all” before, but by and large I break even or come close to it – that’s a win in my book. And besides – my freedom to do what I want with my money is more important to me than the money itself.

Former Cato scholar and now Senior Editor for Reason Magazine Radley Balko (who, by the way, recently moved to Nashville) is currently participating in an interesting debate over the legalization of gambling at The Economist website – and if anything I’ve said so far in this blog has been of interest, you’ll be riveted by what Radley is doing over there. After all – Tennessee finally made the lottery legal after prohibiting games of chance in the state constitution over 200 years beforehand.

I’ll try to blog as often as I can from RightOnline this weekend – and I’ll try to cross-post here and at my blog at Liberty Pundits. There may also be some good tactical/strategic discussions and panels, and I’ll try to reserve those for my blog at The Next Right. I encourage any and all of you to follow me on Twitter (@stackiii) for more instantaneous (and likely less-filtered, more hilarious) updates.

I’m about to hop on a plane, so until tomorrow…

Cross-posted at Liberty Pundits.

Conservatives, Libertarians, and Purity Tests: Can These Groups Win Without Each Other?

July 14, 2010 George 1 comment

After running across this piece in the Economist today, I was reminded of that timeless adage “You’ll attract more flies with honey than with vinegar.” That’s a woefully good reminder for the Right as Election Day draws nearer.

Plenty of noise has been made in the past few weeks about the abrupt resignation/firing of Dave Weigel from the Washington Post blog “Right Now.” I have been a defender of Weigel’s, in large part because I think people’s expectations of Weigel were too high – and that’s not to disparage Weigel at all, whose work I have followed for a couple of years. The problem was, in my view, that lots of activists expected him to counter Ezra Klein’s “Wonk Book” with an editorial style, using his platform at the Post to propel the Tea Party to the revery where so many believed it belonged. Another part of the problem is that, as Dan Gainor at the Media Research Center notes, the Post was never clear about why it had hired Weigel in the first place. Reporting? Check. Opinion? Maybe? I still think Weigel does a good job of reporting, and if he’s guilty of anything, it’s a preoccupation with man-bites-dog narratives. Aside from all that, I don’t have much to add to the gallons of punditry sloshing around the Internet about Weigel-gate.

The reason I bring Weigel’s short-lived stint at the Post back up for discussion is that the reaction from the activist community to Weigel’s resignation – particularly on Twitter – was pretty vicious, with lots of “Good riddance” and “we told you so.” Then came the announcement that Weigel would be a paid MSNBC contributor on Countdown with Keith Olbermann – and activists were once again a-Twitter with disgust. Thankfully there was an equivalent outpouring of support for Weigel. I disagree with Keith Olbermann frequently, particularly when it comes to his sneering punditry and progressive worldview. I appreciate that he was the first (and for a long time only) mainstream media personality to cover the devastating flooding in my hometown of Nashville earlier this year, and he and I share in New York Yankees fan-dom. But why the Weigel witch-hunt on the Right?

And then it hit me: the Right and center-right are still obsessed with (plagued by?) litmus tests that, unchecked, can be impossible to pass. And not normal litmus tests either – sure, nobody wants to see another John McCain presidential campaign – I mean the conservative base is so energized right now that it has become bloodthirsty, and it’s beginning to feed on itself. Long-time allies to conservatives – the libertarians – have begun to take notice.

I urge everyone to check out this written exchange between Cato Institute’s Brink Lindsey, AEI/National Review Online’s Jonah Goldberg, and FreedomWorks’ Matt Kibbe, a debate on where libertarians belong on the 21st century ideological spectrum, and how they can, should, and might play in the activist/political component of the Tea Party movement. Romantic libertarians like yours truly hope wistfully one day to inform a more rigorous social policy agenda – one that actually gets government out of people’s lives, including their marriages and sex lives – to complement existing tenets of economic freedom upon which, for the most part, everyone right-of-center seems to reaching consensus. But because of these purity tests, many libertarians worry that the emergence of centrist rhetoric at Tea Party rallies is nothing more than a ruse to grab handfuls of votes on Election Day 2010 and 2012, and then Big Government conservatism does us all in – again.

Remember: if the base were 100% correct, they'd be in power, and would never have to relinquish that power because they'd always be right.

I am sympathetic to Brink Lindsey’s point in this respect. Libertarians – who often sacrifice opportunities to “get involved” in lieu of safeguarding transcendent philosophical values for the sake of practical virtue – should not compromise their core beliefs just because Sarah Palin said we need less government and more personal responsibility. But I also think Matt Kibbe makes great points – the Tea Party movement is as fascinating a paradigm shift in American politics as I will likely ever see in my lifetime. It has unbundled the Left almost completely, who has tried to use every tool at its disposal – from race-baiting in formal media outlets to unscientific opinion polling – to couch the Tea Party movement as garden-variety Republican, and quintessentially racist, xenophobic, and homophobic. Kibbe insists that many Tea Partiers don’t know where to place themselves on an ideological scale, and notes that many have never been involved in political discourse before now. This groundswell provides libertarians with that romantic opportunity to inform the policy debate – especially issues like gay marriage, which Tea Party groups support, and like Kibbe, I think it’s hasty to accept Lindsey’s premise with open arms. So Lindsey’s libertarian protectionism can be just as dangerous and self-defeating as the Gainor conservative witch-hunts.

The Tea Party movement is still today very fragile, despite the noise the movement has made and the support it has drummed up. If libertarians and conservatives can agree about anything, it’s opposition to power-drunk Democrats; it’s probably best that everyone focus on that for now, instead of running rampant and reckless with purity tests – and when Republicans win, it will be up to them to follow through on promises they’re making to people getting involved for the first time. Those people don’t know where they lie on the ideological spectrum, but they know that the government is screwing them.

Cross-posted at TheNextRight.com.

Where Do Libertarians Belong?

July 12, 2010 George Leave a comment

That’s the subject of this event I’m attending tonight at Reason Magazine. Matt Kibbe of FreedomWorks, Jonah Goldberg of National Review Online, and Brink Lindsey of the Cato Institute will have it out about “where libertarians belong” in American politics. This has, of course, been an interesting and important question this election cycle, since libertarians make up a sizeable contingent of the Tea Party movement.

As much as I think it’s cool to be able to blog from my phone, live-blogging will probably be kept to a minimum for this. I will probably tweet more than blog in long form, because I’m interested to see where an activist, a journalist, and a think tank scholar believe libertarians can/will/should play in American politics. If you’re not on Twitter, you can click here and just refresh the page a lot.

Update 1

So I didn’t actually tweet a whole lot. Jonah Goldberg said something funny though…he said “For the record, I never really jived with George W. Bush’s philosophy, the whole ‘compassionate conservatism’ thing…My name is ‘Goldberg,’ I tend to be a little more Old Testament…I like my conservatism with a little more smite and wrath.”

Update 2

It doesn’t look like they have video of the event turned around and uploaded yet, but you can check back at either Reason’s YouTube channel (which is chock full of other good stuff), or Reason.TV. I’m sure the video will be up in another day or two.

Evening Reading – July 7, 2010

July 7, 2010 George Leave a comment

Today, like most days, was full of action in the news – from the political to the nonsensical – how’d you like the Afternoon Reading edition? Would it be more helpful to you in an email format, and have me return to writing? Use the comments section to let me know what you think!

WAIT, WHO’S THROWING THE TANTRUM HERE? – Seems like Joe Scarborough acted like the professional here and walked away from Kos before things got too heated…and now here’s Moulitsas, on the wrong side of the fence, bitching about Scarborough…still:

Look, it’s been good for Daily Kos to have me on, but it’s not my favorite medium, I’m often uncomfortable, and part of me would be grateful if I never had to do a TV spot again. I did as much MSNBC as I did because I like and respect Keith Olbermann and Ed Schultz. If they decided they didn’t want me on anymore, I’d be perfectly okay with that. However, I do think it’s noteworthy when I’ve been booted from the network because of a Scarborough temper tantrum.

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LEADERSHIP FROM THE WISDOM HOLE – Yesterday, it was my girlfriend Emily who nailed my funny bone when I  needed it…today, it’s web cartoonist Scott Meyer:

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JOHN NASH, EAT YOUR HEART OUT…AND TAKE YOUR MEDS BEFORE YOU LOOK AT THIS – The newly-created U.S. Cyber Command (CYBERCOM), one of the unified combatant commands under the Joint Chiefs, designed to wage war on the Internet has a secret code embedded into its logo/crest…and Wired will give you a t-shirt if you can crack it:

The newly formed U.S. Cyber Command is supposed to centralize and focus the military’s ability to wage war over the internet, but so far it’s basically famous for brain-teasers. The command’s fancy logo contains a super-secret code in its inner gold ring: 9ec4c12949a4f31474f299058ce2b22a. Though some people noticed the code late last month, Wired’s Threat Level blog picked it up this morning and announced a contest, with a free t-shirt going to the first reader to crack the code open.

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FROM THE BUMP TO THE BUN – Washington DC sports fans now have someone other than Alexander Ovechkin to cheer – rookie phenom and Washington Nationals starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg, who boasted 14 K’s in his major league debut. Stras-mania has driven the creation of “Strasburgers” at many eateries in town, and Washingtonian Magazine has their mitts on who’s a straight fastball, and who’s a slider:

Just like everyone else with any business sense in Washington, restaurants are jumping on the Stephen Strasburg craze. But as Strasburgers flood the market, how can foodies tell the aces from the minor-leaguers? We visited three area restaurants to rate their burgers for taste, presentation, and creativity—also known as “Strasburgness.” In each category, we ranked them from 1 (bottom) to 14 (tops) in honor of the phenom’s debut game with 14 strikeouts.

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CELL PHONES GET CREEPIER EVERY DAY – If you thought geolocation data was a threat to privacy, read about this little phone that literally tracks your movement:

Engineers at Japan’s KDDI phone corporation have announced a new kind of mobile technology that tracks “even the tiniest movement” of users, according to the BBC. Strapped to your wrist, it would log every tiny detail of your arm’s movement and beam it back to a centralized command center. And we both know how your arm was moving around 11 p.m. when “Co-Ed Confidental” came on Cinemax.

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FILE UNDER “THINGS I WASN’T REALLY WONDERING ABOUT TODAY” – Scientific American pours praise on poop processing:

The point isn’t so much that what happens to our sewage reaches into every crevice of our culture. The point is that once you’re managing it instead of wishing it away, sewage turns out to be a pretty good thing.

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FAIR AND OPEN HYPOCRISY – Blogger, wonk, and Republican operative Michael Turk catches Free Press in some net neutrality astroturfing…I mean, did someone really say this would be a good strategy?

According to an article in The Daily Caller today, groups that Free Press listed as signatories to its pro-net neutrality agenda not only didn’t sign it, but had no recollection of ever being asked.

People working with groups like the Dr. Pepper Museum and Operation Catnip were asked why they support net neutrality. They could offer no explanation as to how their names, and those of their organizations came to be on the letter. This article comes on the heels of the Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation making a specific request to be removed from the letter after it found itself as an unwitting signatory.

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WELL, THIS ISN’T GOING TO WIN ME ANY FRIENDS – Yesterday I cited a Pew Research Center study on how the recession has impacted Americans. It found:

While nearly all Americans have been hurt in one way or another, some groups have suffered more than others. Blacks and Hispanics have borne a disproportionate share of both the job losses and the housing foreclosures.

Today, I find the New York Times reporting on another Pew Research Center study on mobile web use:

The image of the affluent and white cellphone owner as the prototypical mobile Web user seems to be a mistaken one, according to a report published Wednesday by the Pew Research Center’s Internet and American Life Center.

The study found that African-Americans and Hispanics continue to be more likely to own cellphones than whites and more likely to use their phones for a greater range of activities.

Younger people and people living in households making less than $30,000 a year are increasing their mobile Web use at particularly fast rates, he said, and the African-American and Hispanic populations are younger and poorer relative to the white population.

Here’s the nasty part: liberals are often champions of poor minorities in the wealth disparity fight, and conservatives tend to tout personal responsibility as virtue, and favor equal opportunities to succeed over equal results of varying degrees of effort. So if Blacks and Hispanics have been most impacted by job losses (which nobody can really control), and housing foreclosures (the result of mortgage default, which Democrats blamed in 2008 and 2009 SOLELY on predatory lending, which exists), but they are also using web-capable phones, which indubitably include smart phones with expensive data plans and paid applications…whose fault is the wealth disparity?

Can a smartphone bill really have that much of an impact on a budgeted mortgage payment? It’s no secret that I have an HTC Incredible – I got it free with a New-Every-Two upgrade (that means I took the personal responsibility to suffer the BlackBerry Curve for two years so I wouldn’t have to pay for my next phone), but I pay about $140 per month – and I don’t use any paid applications. Really quick math says that a $150,000 home, which seems about right – correct me if you disagree – with a 30-year mortgage at 3% fixed (I know that’s very low and fixed mortgages aren’t a predatory practice) has somewhere around $500 per month payments…my phone bill would be a third of that. Someone earning $30,000 a year is taking home, at best, about $2,000 per month. My phone bill is almost a tenth of that.

I don’t know what the smart thing to say here is, so I’ll quit with the analogy. Like I said, that will probably be as unsettling for some to read as it was for me to write. I’m not making any causal arguments, but it’s something to think about.

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A LITTLE MORE CRISPY AND BUBBA, PLEASE – My Nashville Predators renew an agreement with FOX Sports Tennessee for another 4 years of coverage. Dirk Hoag at On The Forecheck raises an important point:

The big thing to keep an eye on this fall is to what extent HD broadcasts increase. The overall commitment to increase the number of games covered overall (from 55 last year, and 30 of those were HD) is excellent, however. Slowly but surely, we’re inching closer to 100% HD coverage of the Preds!

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O, COME ALL YE TEA-FUL – Conservative activism resource group FreedomWorks has announced a major blogger conference this coming September, which spans three days leading up to the Second Annual 9-12 Rally (the first was the brain child of FOX News host Glenn Beck):

FreedomWorks has worked hard to be a resource for activists, and we’re now trying to extend a hand to bloggers. There will be no registration fee this year, and it is open to all bloggers (and those who facilitate them). Feel free to pass along to blogger friends!

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WE’RE NOT REALLY LOOKING FOR A POLITICAL HOME; WE JUST WANT TO BE LEFT ALONE – All the same, the folks at Reason Magazine are hosting a debate on where libertarians “fit,” a debate that will no doubt showcase the oratory prowesses of the Cato Institute’s Brink Lindsey, National Review‘s Jonah Goldberg, and FreedomWorks’ Matt Kibbe…RSVP is required, so if you’re a libertarian or conservative (or just plain interested) inside the Beltway, make sure to register:

What: A “Where Do Libertarians Belong?” debate between Cato Institute Vice President Brink Lindsey, National Review Editor-at-Large and American Enterprise Institute Visiting Fellow Jonah Goldberg, and FreedomWorks President Matt Kibbe.

When: Monday, July 12, 6.30-8:30 pm

Where: Reason’s DC HQ, 1747 Connecticut Avenue NW, Washington DC 20009. (Two blocks north of Dupont Circle; take Red Line Metro to Dupont Circle North exit.)

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HARVARD vs. PRINCETON…YOU DECIDE – Harvard economist Greg Mankiw (a former advisor in the Dubya White House) gets his wonk on and takes Princeton economist Paul Krugman (a New York Times columnist and frequent contributor on Real Time with Bill Maher) to task for calling stimulus opponents “logically incoherent”:

A coherent objection to this line of argument might be the following: If the government borrowed the money to spend, it would need to eventually pay the money back. That means higher future taxes, on top of the future tax increases that President Obama already will need to impose to finance his spending plans. Higher future taxes reduce demand today for at least a couple reasons. First, there are Ricardian effects to the extent that consumers take future taxes into account when calculating their permanent income. Second, those future taxes are not likely to be lump-sum but will be distortionary; it is plausible that at least some of those future tax distortions may adversely affect the incentive to invest today.

That is, businesses may be reluctant to invest in an economy that they expect to be distorted by historically unprecedented levels of taxation in the future.  The more the government borrows, the higher taxes will need to go, the more distorted the future economy will be, and the less attractive is investment today.

I am pretty sure Paul would not find this line of argument persuasive.  As far as I can tell from reading his commentary over the years, he does not believe that the distortionary effects of taxes are particularly large and so they do not figure much into his policy analysis.  But many other economists (and I suspect many stimulus-skeptics like the tea-partiers) believe that taxes have significant incentive effects and can prevent the economy from reaching its full potential.  Their argument seems logically coherent, even if it relies on a different set of parameter values for the relevant elasticities than Paul believes to be true.

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IF I WAS EYEBALLS-DEEP IN COLOMBIAN PRIMO, I’D PROBABLY BE WEARING A DONKEY SUIT TOO – A Flickr gem from the US State Department:

Their caption: "Actors from the Andrés Carne de Res restaurant join the celebrations at the U.S. Independence Day “State Fair” Community Event at the U.S. Embassy Bogotá in Colombia, on July 2, 2010."

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COULD IT BE BECAUSE THEY SUCK EQUALLY? – Obama’s approval rating has tanked, but Democrats and Republicans are in a dead heat on the 2010 Generic Congressional Ballot:

The latest results are based on Gallup Daily tracking for the week ending July 4, with no interviewing on the Independence Day holiday. Gallup historical trends suggest that a slight Republican lead on the generic ballot among registered voters — or even a statistical tie — would translate into sizable Republican seat gains in Congress on Election Day, given their typical advantage in voter turnout.

Overall enthusiasm for voting in the 2010 midterm elections held steady in the latest weekly average, with 30% of registered voters saying they are very enthusiastic, although this is down from the higher enthusiasm levels of late March and April. Republicans continue to hold a significant edge on this potentially important indicator of voter turnout rates. The current 13 percentage-point GOP enthusiasm lead is similar to the average 17-point lead the party has held since March.

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That’s all for tonight, folks – keep the feedback coming!

Morning Reading – July 7, 2010

July 7, 2010 George 1 comment

I’M ON TEAM VAN HELSING – After being hoodwinked into seeing the last installment of the Twilight saga (New Moon), for all I care Edward and Jacob can take a dirt nap, and Bella can grow up to be the town’s eccentric and lonely cat lady. Political cartoonist Daryl Cagle delivers this beauty this morning:

Cagle writes, "I think I understand the Twilight phenomenon now, as explained in my cartoon above. Twilight is disturbing - especially the parts that affirm little girls’ feelings of depression, obsession and thoughts of suicide. I’m no Twilight fan, but I have to admire how masterfully the books and movies play to their audience." I guess he has a point.

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TOO BAD HE CAN’T WIN THE PRIMARY IN 2012 – Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, a man with a libertarian streak as long as the Great Wall of China, and who is one of the only governors in the US currently running a budget surplus, sits down with Five Books to talk about the works that have influenced him most:

Hayek, when I thumb back through it and look at what I marked when I first read it, was the book that, to me, convincingly demonstrated what was already intuitive: namely, the utter futility, the illusion of government planning as a mechanism for uplifting those less fortunate. I read it together with dozens of other books, but the way he dissected and depicted the inexorable tendencies in statism to self-perpetuation of bureaucracies, matched what I thought was the evidence I saw around me.

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DO PEOPLE STILL TAKE THIS GUY SERIOUSLY? – Apparently the President still hasn’t filled all the top posts in his administration, and we’re almost to the halfway mark in his term:

Of the 369 jobs at these agencies tracked by The Washington Post’s Head Count, the White House has filled 88 percent (if those announced or formally nominated are included).

Still, some pretty good jobs are available. For example, there’s the assistant secretary for import administration at the Commerce Department. That’s the person who watches out for such things as illegal dumping of goods into this country. The job has been vacant since the beginning of the administration, and as recently as last month, Undersecretary Francisco Sanchez was saying that Commerce were still looking for someone.

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I STEP ON YOU COCKAROACHES! – Democrats are clamoring for something – anything – that might give them a competitive advantage this November…good luck with that:

In recent weeks, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has circulated information to local reporters about Republican candidates in close races. Among the claims:

– That Jim Renacci of Ohio once owed nearly $1.4 million in unpaid state taxes.

– That David Harmer of California received $160,000 in bonus and severance pay from a firm that got a federal bailout.

– That Jon Runyan of New Jersey got a legal break in property taxes for his 25-acre homestead by qualifying for a farmland assessment thanks to his four donkeys.

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A HOUSE DIVIDED WILL NOT STAND…GOOD – Barely a day after President Obama announced $795 million in broadband grants, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Montana) proposes a $600 million cut in broadband grants:

Baucus proposed cutting about $300 million from the Department of Commerce’s Broadband Technology Opportunity Program and $300 million from the Department of Agriculture’s Broadband Initiatives Program to fund extensions of unemployment benefits and various other stimulus programs. Feld writes that House Appropriations chairman David Obey (D-Wis.) has proposed similar cuts as part of the supplemental funding for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars.

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WE CHOOSE TO GO TO THE MOON…AND TO MAKE OUR WEBSITE PRETTY – NASA.gov gets a makeover. Whew, now I think I can sleep tonight:

Updates NASA made to the site include adding images to a box on its homepage called “What are people interested in?” that shows the most popular topics on the site, and a streamlining of “Share” options on the top of each site page from a list of hundreds to four, which then expand if a user is interested into the full list.NASA also added images to the pages and video it shares on Facebook to better illustrate what information is being shared on the social-networking site.

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THAT PROBABLY WASN’T A GOOD IDEA – Apparently the Senate decided to strip transparency language out of the financial reform conference report, language offered as an amendment to the passed House version by transparency advocate and ACORN-defunder Rep. Darrell Issa (R-California):

The amendment Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., offered would have required regulators to use a standard electronic format, such as Extensible Business Reporting Language, for collecting and publishing business information from the financial industry. A conference report overhauling the U.S. financial regulatory system passed the House on Wednesday — without the data transparency language.

“It’s deeply disappointing that bipartisan transparency provisions were removed from the conference report in a manner that couldn’t have been any less transparent,” said Issa spokesman Frederick R. Hill. XBRL, the most widely used standard for financial data, enables any computer to compare figures and ensures proper accounting by using a common set of data fields.

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BECAUSE HE KNOWS WHERE YOU LIVE – The New York Times dubs Congressman Issa the Obama White House’s “Annoyer-in-Chief”:

As a sign of the pride Representative Darrell Issa takes in annoying the Obama administration, consider his account of a recent exchange with Rahm Emanuel, a former congressman and now the White House chief of staff. In describing the episode — a chance encounter outside the House gym — Mr. Issa smirked and raised his middle finger.

Every Congress seems to produce a designated pest, adept at drawing attention to nuisance issues (and his nuisance self) while making trouble for the other party when it controls the White House. Representative Henry A. Waxman, Democrat of California, played that role during the Bush administration, while Representative Dan Burton, Republican of Indiana, did it before him in the Clinton years.

Now comes Mr. Issa, 57, who was charged with two long-ago auto thefts before eventually making a fortune selling car alarms; his signature product, the Viper, features his own deep voice ordering would-be burglars to “please step away from the car.” Mr. Issa’s voice has become inescapable, and not just among car thieves. He has been shouting forth on matters high-profile (the administration’s response to the BP oil spill) and obscure (a possible conflict involving a member of the National Labor Relations Board).

Like Mr. Waxman and Mr. Burton before him, Mr. Issa (pronounced EYE-suh) is his party’s ranking member on the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, a perch that can become particularly visible for a member of the opposition party. He is, depending on the point of view, an invaluable gadfly or an insufferable grandstander — terms not always mutually exclusive on Capitol Hill.

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DOLLARS TO PENNIES SAYS THERE WILL BE ZERO RIGHTEOUS INDIGNATION OVER THIS – Turns out the Citizens United v. FEC ruling actually was a boon for free speech (like I’ve said all along), as unions outspend corporations on political campaigns this year:

Labor unions have dominated spending on independent campaign ads so far this election season, despite a recent Supreme Court decision that freed spending by corporations, a Washington Post analysis shows.

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I THOUGHT IT WAS ABOUT THE KIDS? – Teachers unions dominate politics in Maryland:

IN MONTGOMERY COUNTY, candidates for public office who have received the teachers union’s endorsement ahead of this fall’s Democratic primaries must feel as if they’ve won the lottery. The union, with the help of highly unusual cash “contributions” from some of its anointed candidates, sends out glossy, targeted mailings on their behalf. It places advertisements and yard signs. And it distributes thousands of its “Apple Ballots,” listing endorsed candidates, to voters at polling stations on Election Day.

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Have a great day – see you tonight!

Evening Reading – July 5, 2010

July 5, 2010 George 1 comment

The folks at Retrovo blog to remind that, ultimately, Facebook’s best privacy feature is you, and how you decide what content you do and don’t post to your profile:

It’s tempting to let the “moment” motivate a post that clearly steps outside the boundaries of good judgment. And it should be said that some things are better left unsaid or to be discussed in the privacy of your own home –minus the computer that resides there. However, hasty posting is more common than you might think. In fact, over 1/3 of our respondents admitted to having poster’s remorse and iPhone users rank slightly higher than other smartphone owners. Are smartphones making it too easy for people to embarrass themselves?

Chris Cillizza (aka The Fix) at the Washington Post reports on POST POLITICS blog that Obama has lost white supporters…those racists:

With the November midterm elections less than four months away, Obama’s standing among white voters has sunk — leading some party strategists to fret that the president’s erosion — and the party’s — could adversely affect Democrats’ chances of holding on to their House and Senate majorities.

“Since in the past House elections white voters tended to represent the independent vote, [the midterms] will surely be devastating for Democrats running in an election that will be a referendum on the Obama agenda,” predicted one senior Democratic operative who closely tracks House races.

In Washington Post-ABC polling, Obama’s approval rating among white voters has dropped from better than 60 percent to just above 40 percent. In a June poll, 46 percent of white voters under age 40 approved of how Obama was doing, compared with just 39 percent of whites 65 and older.

The latest NBC-Wall Street Journal poll reveals that Obama’s standing among white voters is remarkably similar to that of President George W. Bush at this same time two years ago.

In the June 2008 NBC-WSJ survey, 37 percent of white men and 26 percent of white women approved of the job Bush was doing. In the June 2010 poll, an identical 37 percent of white men approved of Obama’s handling of his job, as did 35 percent of white women.

Those numbers are all the more striking when viewed against overall perceptions of the two presidents. In June 2008, just 28 percent approved of the job Bush was doing while a whopping 66 percent disapproved. Obama, by contrast, is running far stronger with the nation as a whole, with ratings of 45 percent approval and 48 percent disapproval in last month’s NBC-WSJ survey.

Next up, the geniuses at Democratic Underground have new purity tests for who is or isn’t a legitimate member of their message board community, complete with new speech codes for people who are disenchanted with The One (emphasis added):

LIST OF RULE VIOLATIONS

Inappropriate attacks against Democrats
Insults against prominent Democrats, such as “Fuck Obama.”
- Name-calling against prominent Democrats. Calling Barack Obama “Barry” or some other name.
- Repeating Republican partisan attacks against Democrats.
- Broadly suggesting that there is no difference between Barack Obama and George W. Bush, or that there is no difference between Democrats and Republicans. (Arguing that specific policies are the same would be permitted.)
- Suggesting that President Obama has perpetrated a “con job” or “fraud,” or similarly over-the-top assertions of bad faith.
- Advocating voting against Democrats, or in favor of third-party or GOP candidates.
- Broad-brush smears against Democrats generally. Broad expressions of contempt toward Democrats generally.

Changing gears for a minute, my friend Jimmie Bise, Jr. at The Sundries Shack blog warns Hollywood against making a splash in 3-D film-making, using the Smurfs as their vehicle (by the way – if you subscribe to this blog, you should subscribe to The Sundries Shack too…it may be too heavy on conservative politics for some of our readers, but Jimmie is a gifted writer, entertaining podcaster, and avid NHL fan):

I can’t stop you, but I’m asking you, appealing to whatever better angels you might have to stop. Just stop. Stop pillaging my childhood like a metrosexual Viking Horde looking for booty to bring home and turn into cinematic drek. Stop being so darned lazy and find some good stories! There are plenty out there. Why, there must be thousands of short stories written for children that haven’t even been touched by your foul hands. Can’t you find something other than a cultural touchstone to befoul?

Speaking of hockey, Jeremy K. Gover from Cellblock 303 – fresh back from his trip to covering the 2010 NHL Draft live at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, CA – recaps and grades Nashville Predators General Manager David Poile’s off-season 2010 thus far:

Just two weeks ago, the Nashville Predators top line center was a 35-year old with a $4.5 million salary, with a no trade clause, who was compiling a history of concussions and who had a reputation for playing hard only when he wanted to.

After a few trades and a free agent signing, General Manager David Poile has transformed that top line center into a 28-year old, up-and-coming, hard working and fast skating center, a 22-year old right wing prospect, a second round pick and $1 million in annual savings.

Not bad for two weeks work, eh?

Back to politics for a moment, Sharon Harris at the Advocates for Self Government’s Communicating Liberty blog unveils the first installment of a series on spreading the message of liberty and libertarian philosophy to people who might be skeptical (Sharon Harris might be the first libertarian on record to write something like this, and thank God – between Glenn Beck, the self-absorbed Libertarian Party organizational structure, and Ron Paul’s droves of borderline automaton devotees, something like this needed to be said):

Let’s face it: not everyone thinks like we do. People are different in many ways, including how they gather information, how they make decisions, what they hold of highest value, what lifestyle they prefer, and what they find interesting.

The good news is that once we understand some of these differences, we can make a quantum leap in our ability to persuasively present libertarian ideas to others.

And finally, a friend from high school slams a shot of tequila with a scorpion in it (link):

This is a new feature I’m trying out on the site – let me know what you think!

Aww, Shucks! Y’All Are Gonna Make Me Blush!

May 13, 2010 George Leave a comment

From DC’s newest full-service political consulting firm, CraftDC (emphasis mine):

Here at CRAFT, clients often ask us who to follow on Twitter. While every campaign is different, following a small core of state and national bloggers from the onset can be an effective way to help grow your Twitter presence. Below is a list that we share with our clients. There are many other prominent and interesting bloggers out there. We invite you to comment and suggest others that should be included. (This list is not in any ranking order.)

View the original post at their blog here. CraftDC is a one-of-a-kind political consulting firm, specializing in television, print, mail, and new media services, as well as public affairs/public relations services for political candidates and issue campaigns. They are truly a one-stop-shop of specialists, and their résumés speak for themselves.

There are plenty of people on this list I have never met, and plenty more with whom I disagree on certain issues. But the people I do know on the list have been great friends over the last year or three, and I’m not gonna lie: it’s nice to be counted among some of these high-profile bloggers. I’m flattered, really.

So do yourself a favor – check out Craft’s website if you haven’t already, and give them a follow on Twitter (@CraftDC). If you’re not using Twitter yet, registration is quick, easy, and free!